Showing posts with label Conservative/Tory Party. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Conservative/Tory Party. Show all posts
Barry Gilheany ✍ Reports of the long-term, if not imminent, demise of the British Conservative Party have long been current. 

To those who would say that such reports have been exaggerated, forecasters would point to the cannibalisation of the US Republican Party by the forces of the extreme right beginning with the Tea Party and culminating in the second election of Donald Trump to the Presidency in 2024. There is also the example of the collapse of the mainstream centre right in France in the form of the Republicans (and its Gaullist predecessor Union for a :Popular Movement – UPR) and the Union of Democrats and Independents and its colonisation by the National Rally – the rebranded Front National- led by Marine Le Pen. The disappearance of Italy’s post war hegemon the Christian Democrats and the rise of far-right Georgi Meloni to the post of Prime Minister can be seen as another harbinger of doom to mainstream conservatism. Flush with defections of prominent figure from the Conservative Right such as Nadine Dorries and David Kruger, the insurgent Reform UK is confidently proclaiming that “we are coming for you.” But to what extent do these developments represent the death of a distinct mode of politics and philosophy - the imperative to conserve institutions, opposition to change for change’s sake but commitment to liberal democracy or the reorientation of Conservatism in the era of the Global Convergence of the Right which represents more continuity with the past rather than a clean break?

Citing the observations of Corey Robin in The Reactionary Mind, James Bloodworth points out that conservatism is not just about preserving what exists, but about mobilising elites and the masses against any emancipatory project. In true amoebic style Conservatism reinvents whenever it feels that existing privileges are under threat. Today, this reinvention manifests itself in populist anger aimed at migrants, welfare recipients and an imagined progressive, wokeist ‘elite.’[1]

Bloodworth also cites the critical Gramscian insight that power rests not only on coercion but also on hegemony: the ability of a ruling class to embed its worldview as ‘common sense’ through culture, institutions, and discourse. With the hollowing out of the state in so many areas from local government crippled by the austerity agendas of central government; poor service delivery to the degradation of public spaces by fly-tipping, anti-social behaviour and disrepair and diminution of shared civic values, populists on the radical-right have seized the moment to undermine traditional institutions and to construct parallel ones. In so doing, they have exploited the lack of compelling narratives from the left and centre-right and the cynicism of many towards politics and politicians, to stoke the flames of resentment, prejudice, and paranoia.[2]

This ‘counter-hegemony’ has its origins in the ‘Gramscism of the right’ of the European New Right led by thinkers such as Alain de Benost in the 1970s and 1980s. Their goal was to normalise ethno-nationalist ideas in cultural life before translating them into politics. Contemporary Alt-Right figures such as Steve Bannon in the United States have developed this logic further, urging conservatives to match ‘the long march through the institutions’ journey that has often been attributed to the radical left.[3]

In practice, this has meant billionaires buying up substantial segments of the media landscape, as well as right-leaning academics establishing new scholarly and research institutions to rival what they regard as bastions of ‘progressive orthodoxy.’ It has also meant that with the end of the era of the Reithian BBC and other respected public service outlet such as the NBC of Walter Cronkite fame, a modern information ecosystem in which partisan news outlets such as GB News and Fox News and an Elon Musk controlled are major players has emerged which feeds its consumers a diet of triviality, entertainment, and polarisation.[4] The original public service broadcasting mission to inform, educate and entertain has been replaced by a new generation of media entrepreneurs (think Trump, Berlusconi) who seek to profit from the Triple P virus of populism, polarisation and post-truth of which they are not insignificant spreaders.

The current wave of right-wing populism is a simultaneous reaction, continuation and unwinding of the contradictory nature of the ideological impulse which underpinned the electoral triumph of the political right in the 1980s in the US and UK – the marriage of free-market globalisation with traditionalism and nationalism. The contradictions lay in the way free-market economics undermines traditional social values and the grafting of a patrician and paternalistic conservatism onto a more populist appeal to aspirational but socially conservative voters (in marketing speak – the C2s or Essex/Basildon Man). There were also elements of pragmatism in the conservatism of that era.[5]

These contradictions were embodied in arguably the most iconic conservative figure of that era, Margaret Thatcher, who to her detractors was so ideological that she birthed an explicit philosophy – “Thatcherism’” As the “grocer’s daughter”, she espoused the ‘Victorian values’ of hard work and thrift yet her “bonfire of regulations” financial policies turbo-fuelled a generation of maxing out the credit card consumption and led to the 2008 financial crash. During her time in office, traditional businesses, strongly rooted in local communities, gave way to rootless ‘casino capitalism.’ While certainly an ideological and nationalist politician, she retained a pragmatism over, for example, the signing of the Anglo-Irish Agreement in 1985 and over EU membership (or rather the Single Market rather than closer EU political integration.

Part of the driving force of the contemporary right-wing populism is a reaction to the effect of the global free market, including the fight of traditional manufacturing jobs, and the erosion of the communities they sustained. Despite this, the deregulatory elements of the alliance continue. The vote for Brexit was an amalgam of the preferences of those who wanted a Global Britain of even more deregulation and global free-trade deals, who fantasised about a Singapore-on-Thames economic model for Britain and who did not stress over immigration, with those who wanted economic protectionism and massive reductions in immigration.[6]

The effects of these incompatible expectations are still being acted out. The four per cent drop in the UK’s GDP since it left the EU does not appear to feature in the calculus of free market thinktanks like the Institute of Economic Affairs while the unrelenting animus over immigration has been fuelled by the rise in immigration from outside the EU in the post-Brexit years powered by the Boris visas. Forgotten or conveniently ignored by Brexiteers is that the ability to return rejected asylum seekers to France has been hampered by Britain’s departure from the Dublin Convention and returns arrangements from its erstwhile EU partners as a consequence of Brexit. But rather than offering mea culpas for their deliberate conflation of freedom of movement with asylum and economic migration from outside the EU bloc; the forever warriors of the Brexit conflicts trained their sights on the “small boats” threat to English shores.

What has disappeared from this alliance are the vestigial remains of patrician paternalism, pragmatism and social progressivism which are important elements of most centre-right formations. In the US, those strands of conservatism represented by patrician, elder states people figures like Senator John McCain, East Coast preppy Rockefeller Republicans, scions of Republican dynasties like Liz Cheney and even national security hawks like John Bolton have all but disappeared from Donald Trump’s Republicans. In Britain, Boris Johnson as PM expelled virtually all pragmatists and progressives such as Dominic Grieve and David Gaulke from the Conservative Party for deviations from Brexit orthodoxies. As a consequence, the Tories are locked in possibly mortal combat with Reform for populist support, having shed much of its Blue Wall “small c” support to the Liberal Democrats.

A significant factor in the Conservative Party’s lemming like march to the populist right is thus this loss of the strong connection of its leadership with its middle-class base since the John Major era. While Margaret Thatcher’s hostility towards the trade union movement and the immiseration of those made redundant by the demise of heavy industry guaranteed her status as a hate figure for working-class voters, her rewarding of the middle-class and aspirant middle class through extension of home ownership, lower taxes and creation of share options in privatised utilities created a large enough franchise to ensure four successive general election victories and 18 years in power for the Tories under Thatcher and Major. Both Thatcher and Major, and in turn Tony Blair, became synonymous with social mobility and ‘Middle England.’[7]

However, David Cameron and Boris Johnson, both Etonians from comfortable backgrounds, could not ‘get’ the aspirations of their electorate in the visceral way Thatcher and Major had. The Conservative Party was now being financed by hedge funds and oligarchs rather than small donors. Cameron’s reckless gamble on a binary in/out EU referendum in the interests of his party, not the country, ushered in the culture wars and the damaging economic consequences of Hard Brexit. The austerity agenda of Cameron and George Osborne, his Chancellor, plus an increasing tax burden restricted social mobility in the UK to such an extent that in 2023 the Institute for Fiscal Studies found that it was harder for children from poor households to move into higher income brackets than 40 years ago.[8]

With the seeming death of Thatcherite aspiration and its inability to reboot it, the Conservative Party now offers MAGA style politics of grievance and othering which is out of sync with its centre ground supporters who are not a dying species as shown by analysis in 2024 by the National Centre for Social Research of the British Social Attitudes data which estimated that 43% of the population could be classed as part of the centre or middle-ground.[9]

Furthermore, University College London also conducted a More in Common Poll in 2024 that found that 73% of English respondents said they neither want to “recreate the country’s past” nor “forget it entirely” – rejecting polarised extremes, with only 13% saying they thought they thought the Establishment was “too woke”.[10]

And it is on the issues of asylum and immigration that the venture of contemporary conservatism onto the terrain of ethnic “blood and soil” nationalism has been most pronounced. Crass though the language of a 1983 Tory campaign advert proclaiming “With the Conservatives, there are no blacks, no whites, just people “appears, it is hard to imagine Shadow Justice Secretary Robert Jenrick uttering those words. For in May, he complained that “the white British population has reduced by 50%” in 25 years in parts of Dagenham and “understandably, some people who live there will feel the place that they knew no longer exists”[11]

Conservative MP Neil O’Brien claims that, in places like Islington, “people cannot really integrate into the traditional majority culture – it doesn’t exist any more.”[12]

So stripped of all the resource arguments around immigration; the pressure on local school places, NHS capacity, jobs and the economy and the logistics of the accommodation of asylum applicants is the real driver of migration anxieties; the prioritisation of ethnic identity over all the other profound transformations that British society has undergone. The sugar coating of such anxieties, that it is human nature to be uncomfortable with rapid ethnic change, has been used by politicians to justify restrictions on immigration to avoid the accusations of racism.[13]

But when ‘sensible’ commentators such as David Goodhart – head of the demographic, immigration, and integration unit at conservative think tank Policy Exchange predicts that within a decade only one in five Londoners will be “natives” (a category he reserves for white people) or Ed West – former Deputy Editor of Unherd – asserts that “it is not the 1990s: there has been drastic and dramatic demographic change since then, way beyond what any group of people would find tolerable”; they do not specify the why, the how and who would find this process intolerable. But the underlying logic is the same as “blood and soil” nationalism and that of The Great Replacement Theory – that ancestry and ethnicity is the most important identity, trumping class, age, and everything else.[14]

Such is the moral and political cul-de-sac that modern conservatism has boxed itself into it.

References  

[1] James Bloodworth, From Maggie to MAGA: The Transformation of the Conservatives Mind.  Byline Times. October 2005 pp.38-41

[2] Ibid, p.40

[3] Ibid, p.41

[4] Ibid, p.41

[5] Chris Grey, The New Traditionalism: Targeting the ‘Enemies Within’. Byline Times. October 2025 p.37

[6] Ibid
[7] Stephen Colegrave, How Conservatism Vacated the Centre-Ground. Byline Times. October 2025 p.33

[8] Ibid

[9] Ibid

[10]Ibid

[11] Jonathan Portes, The Return of ‘Blood and Soil’ Nationalism. Byline Times. October 2025 p.31

[12] Ibid

[13] Ibid

[14] Ibid

Barry Gilheany is a freelance writer, qualified counsellor and aspirant artist resident in Colchester where he took his PhD at the University of Essex. He is also a lifelong Leeds United supporter.

The Great Moving Right Show

Barry Gilheany ✍ It is the BBC Radio 4 weekly roundtable discussion programme Any Questions.

Broadcast on Friday evenings, this episode is going out the day after the English local government elections on Thursday 1st May in which the populist right wing Reform UK party led by Nigel Farage, his latest political venture, made dramatic gains winning well over 600 seats.  They took a swathe of shire or County Councils, mostly from the Conservatives but some from Labour as well in addition to three newly created Mayoralties and overcoming a 14,000 plus Labour majority to win by six votes the by-election of Runcorn and Hemby. The Reform representative on the Any Questions panel, the commentator Tim Montgomerie (formerly of Conservative Home) asks his Labour counterpart, Lucy Powell the Commons Leader whether she had seen the Channel 4 documentary broadcast earlier in the week on the grooming gangs scandal; the historic and current incidences of the grooming and rape by predominantly Pakistani heritage males of predominantly white girls and young women; usually residents and former residents of the care system. Lucy Powell’s response was “Oh, we want to blow that little trumpet now, do we? Let’s get that dog whistle out, shall we?” [1] In an instant, Ms Powell handed Reform and other opponents of multiculturalism and “woke;” a key weapon to be used on the doorsteps in future elections. Evidence from the horse’s mouth of a leading Labour government luminary of the liberal, metropolitan elite’s contempt for the concerns and suffering of ordinary people; of the liberal establishment’s determination to cover up - for the sake of supposed racial harmony and misguided political correctness - the industrial scale sexual exploitation of vulnerable children and young people.

This vignette poses the fundamental conundrum as to how progressive and democratic politics deals with the challenges that the radical and populist Right poses. How does Labour and the social democratic left navigate the cultural or wedge issues of identity of our time such as immigration and the compatibility of second or third generation migrant populations to secularism and feminism? Dismissing out of hand, or appearing to, of any child protection concerns by pointing to the dog whistle in the plaintiff’s mouth and to be fair Lucy Powell has apologised for her rash response on Any Questions, is plain wrong. A proper response would be to express the necessity of supporting rape victims and to berate state failure in this regard. Calls for a national inquiry into grooming gangs should be based on prima facie evidence of official malfeasance and negligence aka Bloody Sunday, Hillsborough, Infected blood, Post Office, and Horizon etc. They should not be a response to the racialised weaponising of CSE by bad actors such as the expelled Reform MP Rupert Lowe and the far-right street agitator Tommy Robinson. The toxicity of the grooming gangs’ sagas and the scars it has left in communities in towns like Barrow, Rotherham, Rochdale, and Telford are undeniable but calls for a national inquiry can and must be based on the universalist grounds of the upholding of the rights of women and children.

Many Labour figures from across its spectrum see Reform as an existential threat. Louise Haigh, the former Transport Secretary, has called for an economic reset, “ripping up our self-imposed tax rules … [for] a serious programme of investment and reindustrialisation.” From the socially conservative but economically interventionist Blue Labour faction, the MP Dan Carden warns the working class has rejected Labour: ''People feel abandoned – not just economically, but morally. They look at Westminster and see strangers in charge.'' Kindred MP Jonathan Hinder accuses Labour of having transmogrified into a hyper-liberal party rather than a socialist one, and plead for a tougher stance on immigration, which, he argues “is fundamentally an economic issue as much, and working-class people are generally the losers.”[2]

To calm progressive nerves, the polling expert Peter Kelner has pointed out that Reform may have won 677 council seats; but they were at the expense of the Conservatives. Labour did lose 187 seats: but the Liberal Democrats gained 163 and the Greens 44 for a net progressive gain which indicates that the progressive constituency is holding – even making – ground. But nevertheless Reform is here to say which is likely to be confirmed by the elections to the Welsh Senedd in May 2026; at the moment Reform leads the polls in Wales on 30%, with Plaid Cymru second and a Labour a poor third on 18%[3]. In the aftermath of last week’s polls, psephologists extrapolated from the respective shares of the vote in what was admittedly a contest across about a third of England, that Reform would win a 30% share of the national voter in a General Election which would be sufficient to win a majority of seats and therefore form a government. A sobering, alarming prospect perhaps but one which is far from written in the stars if progressive forces align properly.

At the moment it is the Conservative Party, that election winning machine with the Nietzschean Will to Power and the amoebic ability to represent the nation, which faces the greatest existential threat from Reform. This 200 year old institution has slumped to 17% in the polls and is becoming the biggest casualty of the fracturing of the century long two party (Tory-Labour) duopoly caused by the Reform and Liberal Democrat electoral insurgency. It has not advanced one millimetre from its historic record defeat in the last July’s general election which returned a Labour landslide majority in terms of seats but a paper thin one in terms of voting preferences. Data has shown that about 57 of the newly elected Reform councillors has previously stood for the Conservatives, and Tory MPs have reported losing many of their activists to Nigel Farage’s party, adding to its improved political organisation. Big beasts of the party’s past and present have warned of an extinction event. Simon Clarke, an ally of Boris Johnson and former minister and MP, states bluntly that Tory Party members needed to face the reality that the Tories have “not had a clear, compelling narrative for a long time” and have to accept “that we are fighting to justify our existence”. His biggest single worry “is that the pipeline of future Conservative voters is completely dead.”[4]

Arch Brexiteer, former Minister Steve Baker who lost his seat in the Tory wipeout last year and a strong backer of the current Tory leader Kemi Badenoch has said “… we failed to answer the immigration question and have not adequately raised living standards.” He forecasts that if Ms Badenoch has not reversed Tory Party fortunes by next year’s council elections “bigger than the ones we have just had” that Tory MP’s led by supporters of Robert Jenrick, to the right of her and the defeated candidate in last year’s leadership contest, will move against her.[5] It has to be said that Kemi Badenoch has barely laid a glove on Keir Starmer at Prime Minister’s Questions due to her predilection for raising culture war issues rather than substantive critiques of government policy and that she is notoriously reluctant to do the hard yards of meeting, communicating with and gladhanding the party grassroots.

Jeremy Hunt, former Health Secretary, has warned that the party could not rule out extinction and that it would take a while to recover from the “massive earthquake” that had caused the two-party system to crack. From the opposite wing of the party, veteran Party grandee Lord Heseltine, former Deputy Prime Minister and passionate pro-European, says that he is optimistic about the party’s capacity to recover but it needed to forge a better relationship with the EU and start making positive arguments about immigration as a force for good in the economy. (Good luck with that, more than a few sceptics would say!) Perhaps the most telling contribution in the last week was made by the former Chancellor George Osborne who cautioned that the party was making a mistake by focusing on culture wars and trying to ape Reform, telling LBC: “If we spoke a little bit less about transgender toilets and a bit more about taxes, then we might be on to something”[6]

The rise of Reform and its previous Faragian apparitions of UKIP (United Kingdom Independence Party) and Brexit parties is in no small matter related to the psychodramas on EU membership which convulsed the Conservative Party since the early 1990s leading the then PM David Cameron to try to shoot the UKIP./ Eurosceptic fox by holding the fateful in-out EU referendum in 2016 which led to the UK’s departure from the European bloc; Cameron’s resignation followed by four Tory PMs in the next eight years as Parliament struggled to put flesh on an EU withdrawal deal; the country became divided into Remain and Brexit tribes and the One Nation Tory tradition was expunged from a Conservative Party that had become an English nationalist sect whose vote is being steadily cannibalised by the real thing – Reform UK. Not quite the fate that has befallen the Republican Party in the USA with its hostile takeover by the Alt-Right and the displacement of centre-right parties in France, the Netherlands and Italy by nativist, anti-migrant parties but definitely a cautionary tale. And lessons which are transferable to the Labour Party.

For Labour’s strategists has run scared from owning the party’s progressive roots for far too long says Will Hutton. He claims that the Labour Party is the best change agent Britain possesses. Its missions are common good outcomes in economy and society; to promote fairness and opportunity for all; to create a social floor below which no one should fall and to make the case for public institutions [7] However Labour’s timidity is in articulating such a vision and its failure to develop a coherent project beyond “clearing up the mess left by 14 years of Conservative rule”. Its more radical policies - the workers’ rights bill, the renationalisation of the railways, the creation of BG Energy – are not integrated into a convincing narrative. Missteps such as the abolition of the Winter Fuel Allowance and disability benefits were driven by the imperatives to stay within Chancellor Rachel Reeve’s self imposed fiscal straightjacket and not by any moral mission. Labour duly paid the price in the Runcorn by-election where the Winter Fuel Allowance abolition was a much more salient issue on the doorsteps than any hot button culture issue such as alleged “two-tier” policing, small boats or transgenderism in the opinion polls. The degradation of the public realm – crumbling schools and hospitals, dilapidated housing, pot-holed roads – would have been major factors in the loss of the Labour run local authorities of Doncaster Metropolitan Council and North Tyneside to Reform.

Which brings us to today’s supposed attempt by Labour to reconnect with its grassroots – the publication of the government’s White Paper on immigration and Keir Starmer’s accompanying speech in which he promised to “take back control of our borders” and claimed that immigration rates were causing community divisions and creating “an island full of strangers” Sir Keir has clearly been on a journey from his days as a human rights lawyer and his defence of migrants on his accession as Labour leader in 2020. Now he deploys the strapline of the Vote Leave campaign in 2016 and language which lies somewhere on the spectrum between the then PM Theresa May’s “citizens of nowhere” speech in 2016 and Enoch Powell’s infamous “Rivers of Blood” speech in 1968. The Act proposes that care homes no longer employ overseas staff; that the period of residency required to acquire UK citizenship be raised from five to ten years; that work visas be only issued to graduates and that universities be charged for every visa issued to overseas student. Whither the party on internationalist solidarity. The shifting of the dial on immigration towards restrictive and performatively cruel policies has been the greatest success of populist right wing parties in Europe. That a Labour Government is now feeding into the discourse and practice of populist poison on immigration is arguably Nigel Farage’s greatest triumph so far.

References

[1] Andrew Marr. As the right advances, Labour must show it has something to offer that Reform doesn’t. The New Statesman 9-15 May 2025

[2] Ibid

[3] Will Hutton. Labour’s Farage disguise is already wearing thin with Britain’s progressive majority. The Observer 11 May 2025 p.34

[4] Rowena Mason and Michael Goodier. Conservative party is fighting for its life, says former cabinet minister. The Guardian Saturday 10th May 2025 p.12

[5] Ibid

[6] Ibid

[7] Hutton, op cit

Barry Gilheany is a freelance writer, qualified counsellor and aspirant artist resident in Colchester where he took his PhD at the University of Essex. He is also a lifelong Leeds United supporter.

Threats To Democracy 🪶 Reform Or Die 🪶 The Populist Right Makes Its Impact In British Electoral Politics

Caoimhin O’Muraile ☭ When the Second World War ended in 1945 the election of that year produced, for the first time, a landslide majority for Clement Attlee’s Labour Party. 

They swept to governmental power bringing in a parliamentary socialistic set of policies which would change the face of liberal democracy in Britain, the UK in fact, for the foreseeable future. These policies included, for the first time a nationalised health system, the National Health Service (NHS), a welfare state bringing an end to the hated ‘means test’ when a person claimed benefits, the nationalisation of major industries and free General Practitioners (GPs) care for families. No longer would the patient have to look in their pockets for money before they dare approach a GP for care. This heralded a new beginning for the people of Britain which is why they unceremoniously booted out the great ‘wartime leader’ Winston Churchill. 

All these changes came about without altering for one second the balance of class forces in Britain. The ruling classes, bourgeoisie and aristocracy would remain in their ruling positions, owning the means of production or about 95% of industry which was not nationalised, and the landed gentry continued to own the land and stately homes. Most of the wealth would remain in the hands of a tiny minority.

People did not mind this as their new health service and almost guaranteed employment meant they too now had a vested interest in society for the first time ever, or so they believed. In 1950 Attlee went to the polls and was returned but with a much-reduced majority. The ruling classes used their influence, media and other avenues of communication, to clip the Labour Party’s wings. In late 1951 another election was called returning Churchill back to office. The media rejoiced with slogans like; ‘Winston is back’ and ‘good old Winnie’. The Conservative and Unionist Party were back but they did little if anything to alter the new status quo. The NHS remained as did the entire Welfare State and nationalised industries along with the pluralist system of industrial relations which gave the trade unions more leverage than ever before. This state of affairs, often referred to as ‘the post war consensus’, remained in place, give or take a few cracks, until 1979 and the election of Margaret Thatcher and her new right-wing agenda. She pulled down many of the gains working-class people had made since 1945 and, ironically enough, they let her!

Thatcher, who I believe privately held fascist political views unlike the rest of her party with a couple of exceptions, began pulling the British political landscape to the right. For a short period between 1980 and 1983 the Labour Party, under Michael Foot, moved rapidly leftwards but, unfortunately the right-wing juggernaut could not be stopped. Thatcher’s ratings in the polls were very low which was why she allowed the imminent Argentine invasion of the Falklands/Malvinas to go ahead. She was aware of Argentina’s intentions as the Ice Ship, HMS Endurance, had reported Argentine troop movements weeks in advance to their landings on the islands. Thatcher allowed this to happen knowing full well a British Army victory in the South Atlantic would sweep her back into Number Ten. People, having short memories, would forget about the poverty and unemployment her and her policies had inflicted on them providing they could wrap themselves in a silly flag and sing patriotic songs. She guessed right, just as Hitler did in the early years of the Third Reich! She also reckoned, again guessing right, that the new generation were more interested in some farcical national pride than listening to trade union leaders or worrying about having no job. She then finished the job of finally destroying the ‘post war consensus’, replacing it with a new right-wing variant the legacy of which the British people still have today.

After Michael Foot's 1983 defeat at the polls the British Labour Party have followed Thatcher and Thatcherism on this rightwards march. When Neil Kinnock was Labour leader, he routed the party’s left wing and later Tony Blair, labour Prime Minister 1997-2007 moved the Labour Party further to the right, making it almost indistinguishable from the conservatives. He was followed by Gordon Brown, a Blairite, who succeeded Blair when he stood down in 2007 remaining as Labour Prime Minister until 2010. From 2010 until 2015 a right-wing coalition of conservatives and liberal democrats made up the government of the UK. When Labour, right-wing as they were, lost the 2010 general election Brown stood down as leader of the Labour Party to be replaced by Ed Miliband another centre right leader, despite his father, Ralph Miliband, being an out and out Marxist. He in turn was replaced, after another election defeat in 2015, by Jeremy Corbyn, and for the first time in many years a return to original Labour values and policies looked a real possibility. Corbyn cut PM Theresa May’s Conservative majority in the 2017 general election, much to the annoyance of Labours parliamentary party who hated Corbyn. They then set about ousting him, despite Jeremy Corbyn being the choice of the majority of party members, and in the 2019 election their efforts bore fruit as labour were crushed. The right-wing consensus, started by Thatcher rolls on.

The Conservatives remain in governmental power today and their leader and Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, is in no mood for a turn to the left. Despite him coming from Asian stock he is as right-wing and, arguably racist and reactionary as any of his predecessors. On Wednesday 4th October 2023 Sunak announced at the Tory Party conference in regards to ‘Transexual’ people; “people can’t be any sex they want to be, a man is a man and a woman is a woman and that’s just common sense”. He did not try to hide his contempt for the trans community and his hatred of sex change operations for those who feel born into the wrong body, despite some utterings to the contrary. This speech was heard by millions of TV viewers watching BBC 2 daily programme, Politics UK. The prejudices which already exist in society were legitimised by Sunak’s speech at the conference. This coming from a man who is of Asian origin himself and many of those in society who hate the transsexual community also hate black people, Asian people, and mixed race, not ‘pure British’ people. 

Sunak and his policies are bordering on fascism and are certainly prejudicial as he makes no secret that he is an admirer of Margaret Thatcher and her right-wing agenda. Is it possible for a person of mixed race (if we use colour of skin as a barometer of race) to be a fascist? Well, yes it is, because racism and fascism although closely related and complimentary to each other are not essentially preconditions. It is not essential, though it is preferable, for a member of a fascist party to be racist. By the same token they cannot be anti-racist, just mildly ‘non-racist’ (there is a world of difference between the two) which would inevitably lead to becoming racist. This is not to suggest Sunak is a fascist (yet) or, like his predecessor Margaret Thatcher, holds fascist views but inflammatory speeches of this nature can set a dangerous precedent in society and at very least makes for a very unpleasant odour within the general population.

What Sunak does not realise, or perhaps he’s a little stupid on this subject, is that by legitimising hatred for the trans community among the general population, most of whom are perhaps indifferent hitherto, he has also indirectly legitimised racial and gender hatreds along with homophobia and xenophobia, the snowball effect! The far right and fascists will be watching developments in people’s attitudes after Sunak’s inflammatory speech to see how much support they can tap into and exploit. The fascist right, at leadership level, are not, unlike their followers on the streets, stupid. Evil yes, stupid no! The leaderships of these organisations, at the moment fringe groups, will be watching the Conservative and Unionist Party’s swing to the right with interest. Their next step is to borrow some of the statements and comments, which perhaps may lead to becoming policies, made at the party conference by the Conservatives and elaborate on them, claiming such comments and policies as their own. If the shout of ‘racist’ or ‘fascist’ is aimed at them they in turn will point to the Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak pointing out it was he who introduced the anti-trans and racist comments, not them! It was he and the supposed Labour opposition who want to cut the legal avenues for immigration into Britain, not them!!

Sunak also proposes life sentences for leaders of gangs who groom children for abusive purposes. This is a difficult one to argue against because child abuse is wrong, evil, and many in the population would applaud such policies as Sunak suggests. My own view is people who abuse for sexual gratification children are sick and therefore need treatment by qualified doctors, which neither me or Rishi Sunak are one of. However, I am speaking politically, and as a parent I may think differently and there is no doubt in society there is a demand for harsher punishments for child abuse. Sunak is playing to this populism both in the case of anti-trans discourse, seeking votes at the expense of some people’s happiness, and he is seeking popularity by being seen as the saviour of British children at risk from predators. Sunak is also in favour of cutting the time a foreign criminal spends in jail from twelve to six months before they can be deported. Could this be another way of introducing easier deportation orders across the board, starting with criminals then extending it generally across the migrant population? Of course, he will not tell us this at the present early stage it is called ‘gradualism’ as Hitler did with the Jewish population and look where that finished up!

‘It can’t happen in Britain’ do I hear? Why can it not? It only needs the correct language dressed up to sound respectable, instead of the barmy rantings Hitler rammed down the throats of Germans, and the potential is frightening. Another dangerous idea of the Prime Minister of the UK is his belief the police should be allowed to record the ethnicity and race of those involved in such, albeit, hideous crimes as child grooming. The question is will, these records of ethnicity apply to all offenders, or just those of ethnic minorities, like Sunak himself? What has a person’s ethnicity or racial origins got to do with the crime? Is it any less horrific for the victim to be groomed and abused by an English person than somebody from, say, the Indian sub-continent? Is this not how Hitler managed to track down Jewish people in the occupied countries during the Second World War because records of people’s ethnicity existed? It was for this reason, many years ago, that we, as trade unionists in England opposed the use of ethnic origins of job applicants to be kept on file even though the reason for the employer wanting this information was to prevent negative discrimination and practice a form of positive discrimination. We could not disagree with this as we too supported positive discrimination, the question was, how long before the files are destroyed? If a fascist or worse a Nazi style government ever came to power, they could use these files to track down, with ease, various ethnic groups, therefore the files should be destroyed after a given period, perhaps just keeping records of the numbers of ethnic minorities in a given position to maintain parity, not the names and addresses of these minorities.

The language used by Sunak at conference may not be intended as fascist, racist or anti-trans but such discourse legitimises the anti-transsexual and anti-immigrant factions in society. He talks of reducing the number of people coming into Britain ’illegally’ when any legal routes as still exist are being closed. What exactly is an ‘illegal immigrant’? Is it a person arriving with no papers or documents? Let us not forget many countries these people are fleeing do not afford them the niceties of issuing papers before they flee! Look what happened to hundreds of thousands of Jewish people trying to escape Nazi Germany without any form of identification or documentation! They were refused entry to countless countries, including the UK and sent back to their certain deaths in Germany!! Is this what Sunak is suggesting in Britain? Perhaps he should remember his own parents may not have gained access to Britain had such restrictions existed during the sixties when they arrived! If the Conservative reactionary MP, Enoch Powel, had his way would Rishi Sunak’s parents have gained entry to Britain?

Britain has a history dating back to the nineteenth century of migrant people moving to the country and then becoming the greatest opponent of further immigration. The ‘pull up the drawbridge mentality, I’m alright Jack so fuck you’. Some people would, often by foul means, gain access to Britain then immediately deny their fellow countryfolk the same access, quite ironic!

The ambiguity of Rishi Sunak’s speech at conference is exposed when, on the one hand, he says he wants Britain to be “the safest place to be trans” then, on the other, making the potentially dangerous speech outlined above possibly making Britain the most unsafe place to be for transsexuals or transgenders as the public listen and turn their backs on tolerance. The potential is worrying to say the least. One problem the British electorate face is what is the alternative to Sunak’s blind and worrying discourse? The British Labour opposition, as pointed out earlier, are part of the right-wing consensus and offer little difference to the policies of the present government. They too wish to ‘cut immigration’ and have their sceptics on transgender. Their Blairite leader, Kier Starmer, keeps changing direction to say what he thinks the people want to hear, no matter how reactionary. Principles can go to hell, let’s just get elected and continue the Tory policies with a little extra perhaps to govern British capitalism and maintain divisions within society while pretending to want unity!

These are dangerous times in the British electoral system or, more to the point, the UK which alas still includes the six counties. The Conservative and Unionist Party are the natural parliamentary allies of the unionists in the North of Ireland. In fact, until 1972 the Ulster Unionist Party took the Conservative whip in Parliament. For this reason, the British Labour Party at their conference push any discussion on Irish unity to the fringes, not allowing such meetings on the main agenda at their conference. Many in the Labour Party, like Kate Hoey, are themselves unionists and others, like former leader Jeremy Corbyn (now expelled from the party), are in favour of a united Ireland. How long will these fringe meetings and trends be tolerated by Starmer? Thereby hangs a question!!

Once the snowball of prejudice has began rolling it becomes unstoppable, increasing in size as it rolls down the hill. The politicians who started this prejudicial avalanche then distance themselves from the outcome, denying any involvement in reactionary behaviour on the streets. Remember Enoch Powell's ‘rivers of blood’ speech in 1968? The parliamentarians who started such reactions then claim to deplore such activities pretending to have concern for the very minorities now under attack from prejudicial people, prejudices such speeches as that of Sunak started or certainly helped!

Caoimhin O’Muraile is Independent Socialist Republican and Marxist.

British Tories Shift Further To The Right!