Ian Majorshares some reflections on the likely effects of Omicron in the UK in the next few weeks.
 
1. It seems everybody but those strictly shielding will be exposed to it.
2. It seems likely to be mild, with many infected having little or no symptoms.
3. Those infected will gain significant immunity to Covid-19.
4. If this is replicated throughout the rest of the world, that may be the end of Covid-19 as a threat.
5. But it is spreading so rapidly that most of the population will be infected in January.

If that happens, dangerous consequences come with it: many vital staff, nurses, doctors, lorry drivers, etc., will be off isolating at the same time. How will the hospitals, food and fuel suppliers operate?
 
Will we have to accept infection as less of a threat than the loss of life and suffering that isolating the infected would inflict? If so, are we mentally prepared to have infectious people care for us in hospital, serve us in shops and other necessary venues?
 
Ideally, slowing the spread - dampening the curve - would prevent that. But I doubt enough people will be willing to limit their exposure. If that is the case, the government will again be faced with letting it rip or imposing lockdown. And the latter seems unlikely to succeed, given the understandable distrust of government, and belief in conspiracy theories.

Most likely many will have to see it with their eyes before they will accept the danger, by which time it will be a fact of history, not a possibility to be avoided.
 
We should be deeply thankful to the Lord that Omicron is much milder, rather than much more severe. Had the variant been as bad as Delta, or even worse like SARS or MERS, we would be in an apocalypse.

Ian Major grew up a heathen Protestant, was converted at 17. He lives out his Evangelical faith as a Baptist. 

Omicron

Ian Majorshares some reflections on the likely effects of Omicron in the UK in the next few weeks.
 
1. It seems everybody but those strictly shielding will be exposed to it.
2. It seems likely to be mild, with many infected having little or no symptoms.
3. Those infected will gain significant immunity to Covid-19.
4. If this is replicated throughout the rest of the world, that may be the end of Covid-19 as a threat.
5. But it is spreading so rapidly that most of the population will be infected in January.

If that happens, dangerous consequences come with it: many vital staff, nurses, doctors, lorry drivers, etc., will be off isolating at the same time. How will the hospitals, food and fuel suppliers operate?
 
Will we have to accept infection as less of a threat than the loss of life and suffering that isolating the infected would inflict? If so, are we mentally prepared to have infectious people care for us in hospital, serve us in shops and other necessary venues?
 
Ideally, slowing the spread - dampening the curve - would prevent that. But I doubt enough people will be willing to limit their exposure. If that is the case, the government will again be faced with letting it rip or imposing lockdown. And the latter seems unlikely to succeed, given the understandable distrust of government, and belief in conspiracy theories.

Most likely many will have to see it with their eyes before they will accept the danger, by which time it will be a fact of history, not a possibility to be avoided.
 
We should be deeply thankful to the Lord that Omicron is much milder, rather than much more severe. Had the variant been as bad as Delta, or even worse like SARS or MERS, we would be in an apocalypse.

Ian Major grew up a heathen Protestant, was converted at 17. He lives out his Evangelical faith as a Baptist. 

16 comments:

  1. Of course your Lord could have stopped it at anytime Ian, couldn't he?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. God, or not, Ian makes some common sense points

      Delete
    2. AM,

      I agreed with him until the last paragraph.

      Delete
    3. if you make allowances for that, it is a very lucid piece.

      Delete
  2. Omicron AKA common cold. Delta AKA seasonal flu. And as I said on yesterday's morning thought it's media control .....

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The most frightening aspect of it all, Frankie, is the willingness to chuck human rights safeguards aside. We are now in a moment where people are not only afraid of freedom, and are demanding that theirs be curtailed, but are afraid of others enjoying freedom too. The lack of regard, ney disdain, for the uphold of civil liberties and human rights protections, by those we would normally expect to be zealots in this regard, is one of the most shocking aspects of the ‘age of Covid’. To see so many of those I refer to diminish the coercion pervading our society and pretending as though it isn’t happening is utterly surreal and bordering appalling. I have never seen the like of it tbh.

      Delete
    2. you seem to have solved that comment-posting glitch Sean, whatever it was.

      Delete
    3. Frankie,

      Look like UK and South Africa scientists agree with you..

      https://www.bbc.com/news/health-59758784

      Delete
  3. The lockdown critics gave the game away in the House of Commons last week when a Tory MP commented that Covid restrictions signified a "public health socialist state". The agenda of anti-vaxxers is the abolition of socialised medical care.

    My right and that of others, especially vulnerable groups, to health and not to be infected by this virulent disease trumps any spurious "human rights" protestations about Covid passports, mask wearing and social distancing.

    Want to enjoy the full freedoms and liberties we enjoyed pre-pandemic? The get double vaccinated and then boosted. That way you will stay out of Intensive Care Units and free up resources for cancer treatment and other vital procedures that have, unfortunately, had to be put on the back burner.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Steve, Yes, God could have stopped SARS CoV 2 arising in the first place. But He is under no obligation to save this rebel world from the consequences of their rebellion. I thank Him for the mercies and patience He has shown us.

    Frankie/San, No doubt the pandemic has been used to extent State powers. Any real emergency can be used like that. Doesn't mean the emergency is not real. We need treat the emergency while also holding the governments to account for their overreach.

    Joining the conspiracy nutters and pretending there is no pandemic, or that vaccines are meant to kill us or insert magnetic nanoparticles so we can be controlled via 5G masts, is a dangerous folly. Just as dangerous as trusting the governments to behave as democrats.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Flipsake Wolfie careful talking about Rebels on this page!

      No obligation? Happy to just be a voyeur and watch millions die the horrible death of suffocation whilst having the ability to prevent it? Just a wee bit sadistic if I may say so Wolfie.

      Delete
  5. Matt Treacy Comments

    Fair play. One of the few sensible comments on all of this I have seen.

    (You certainly will not see anything remotely like it on MSM, and once again justifies Anthony's media moguldom!)


    From the bit I know about the 1918 flu epidemic it would indeed seem that something akin to the scenario you present took place back then.

    So many people became infected, that the natural resistance that kicks in under such viral assault lessened its virulence and eventually reduced it to just another of the things that have afflicted humanity for millennia.

    Of course the same state power and medical response - through vaccines - did not exist at that time so there was little choice but to endure and just implement practical measures to do with hygiene. It also undoubtedly shed a light on the appalling housing conditions that still existed in the big cities.

    Now, as Seán points out, the state response has been disproportionate and unlikely to abate. That might not only have a longer term impact on freedoms - which seems to be greeted by the statist left with glee - but also prolong the "pandemic" by not allowing it to take its natural course.

    I would not be confident about a positive outcome, to be honest.

    ReplyDelete
  6. The best interests of the working class would have been served by increasing ICU capacity and health service professionals and eradicating the March towards private healthcare by providing post pandemic facilities that meet normal time needs by that investment, not blowing 50 billion, destroying lives and livelihoods and partitioning families and friends in a grossly authoritarian way. The vaccines are one issue, the passports a bigger one. Why not respect the right to take one and decline one and provide adequate health care for those who get sick? Don't say it was money as that being thrown around.

    ReplyDelete
  7. So it seems there are several varients of bat flu going around and there are rumours about a new global lockdown online....

    Personally I can't wait for the next lockdown...I will do what I done during the first lockdown a few years ago and simply break every rule most will abide by. I am going out on a limb, I think I broke more rules single handedly than Bojo and his party-gate clowns broke collectively....Too many people fought the law, went to prison and some died for the freedoms I have today and I am not giving mine up....................

    A rockabilly gem by Ebe Sneezer & The Epidemics - Asiatic Flu (1957) ...At least one Quiller open the link, watch the video and pay attention to the words....

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Covid-19 and its variants are respiratory diseases of zoonotic origin. Hopefully there will be no need for a fresh lockdown take up the next generation of vaccines (which should be available to at least all over-50s as should the flu and the shingles vaccines)
      enables the appropriate herd immunity . Nobody is forced or should be forced to take vaccines but it is social responsibility to protect the vulnerable and immuno-compromised whose rights to life and health are much more important than the "rights" of sociopathic libertarians to violate necessary restrictions while at the same time freeriding of general immunuity.

      Delete