Barry Gilheany ✍ At 8.30pm on Sunday 12th April 2026 the poster boy for far right nationalist populists, and perhaps Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin’s greatest asset on the continent of Europe, Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party conceded defeat in the Hungarian general election to his opponent and formal colleague Peter Magyar and his centre-right Tisza party with 72 per cent of the votes counted (the total turnout was 78% an indication of the high stakes involved).

 While pre-election polls did show Tisza to have a comfortable double-digit lead in the polls, the impact of its victory feels no less seismic for that. For in a stunning inversion of the logic and patterns of Hungarian electoral outcomes since Viktor Orbán  returned to office in 2010 (he had been Prime Minister before between 1998 and 2002 when his party had governed democratically as a mainstream centre-right party but after 2002 he tacked sharply to the ethno-nationalist far right); Tisza has won a supermajority or two thirds of the 199 seats in the Hungarian Parliament – the same sort of margins that Fidesz routinely achieved in the “illiberal democracy” which Orbán went to such inordinate lengths to institutionalise. In an era where liberal democracy has widely perceived to be in retreat from the Triple P Virus of Populism, Polarisation and Post-Truth (its most significant capture being the United States of Trump 2.0), the removal of its most consequential figure in Europe has been welcomed euphorically by democrats and progressives across the continent (regardless of the ideological orientation of the victorious party).

Hungary has a population of less than 10 million and an economy that produces a modest 1.1% of the European Union’s GDP. But the election was a totemic crucible for two competing visions of not just Hungarian identity but that of Europe and the wider West. One was the vision of liberal democratic Europe exemplified by the EU with its core values of open societies, freedom of expression and acceptance of the rules and conventions of representative democracy. The other was the traditional conservative Christian Europe under the threat of, in the words of the US National Security Strategy, of “civilisational erasure” by mass immigration. For proponents of the latter, Viktor Orbán’s self-styled “Illiberal democracy” is its poster child with its defence of a Europe under alleged siege from without by interfering EU officials, hordes of mainly Muslim immigrants and the forces of Soros-backed globalism and within gender ideology and “far left,” woke ideology. Latterly another demon has been added to this list in the form of President Zelenskyy of Ukraine whose defensive war against Russian aggression Orban warned of Hungary being dragooned into. Hardly surprising that Orbán is Europe’s bridgehead for both Trump and Putin in that his conservative Christian nationalist ideology reflects the worldview of both aggrandising superpowers. Hardly surprising but so egregious in terms of the principle of the sovereignty of nations, that Trump has weighed in with encouragement on Truth Social for Hungarians to “Get out and vote for Orbán'' and that a day before the poll opened, he pledged to use “the full economic might” of the US to shore up the European economy. 

Also, with no hint of irony (a quality that is rapidly disappearing in our neo-Orwellian world), Vice President JD Vance on his trip to Budapest to “help” Orbán’s campaign accused Europe of meddling in the election and lambasted “Brussels bureaucrats” for destroying Hungary’s economy.[1] Other far right figures lined up to show solidarity with their ideological kin: Marine Le Pen, Georgia Meloni, Italian PM, Benjamin Netananyu, President Javier Milei of Argentina and Orbán’s neighbouring Eurosceptic and Putin ally, Robert Fico in Slovakia. More ominously, has been the spectre of Russian disinformation and possible false flag operations to assist their most pliant European leader. After Orbán  accused Ukraine of blowing up a pipeline to deprive Hungary of Russian energy and manipulate the election, a week before the election, rucksacks full of explosives were found near another pipeline in Serbia that transports Russian gas to Hungary. While the 4kg of explosives were not sufficient to cause major damage to the pipe, it had in the opinion of a former Ukrainian major general and munitions specialist “provocation” value for Orbán. Worse still, wiretapped phone calls published last week revealed that Hungary’s foreign minister promised to share confidential EU documents regarding Ukrainian accession with his Russian opposite number. Western intelligence sources told the Washington Post that Russia had floated the idea of staging an assassination attempt against Orbán to tilt the vote in his favour.[2]

The clarion calls of both leaders were indications that the stakes in this election could not have been higher. Magyar and his centre-right Tisza party, which according to most polls had a double-digit lead over Orban’s Fidesz party in the run up to the vote, were accused by Orban of “colluding” with foreign intelligence and threatening the ruling party’s supporters with violence. In response Magyar – a former Fidesz loyalist who left it two years ago, accusing it of corruption and propaganda, said in a social media post:

The ongoing election fraud carried out for months by Fidesz, along with criminal acts, intelligence operations, disinformation and fake news cannot change the fact that Tisza is going to win this election.[3]

So how did it get to this state? Why was Hungary standing at this particular threshold? One answer is provided by the democratic theories Steven Levitsky and Damiel Ziblatt who hold up Hungary as a textbook example of how democracies will die in the 21st century; not through coups, the violence of civil wars or insurgency, foreign invasion or the rise of a militia backed Hitler or Mussolini but through democratic backsliding over time. Surveying twenty-first century autocracies, Levitsky and Ziblatt find that most of them are built via lawfare or constitutional hardball. They write that democratic backsliding occurs gradually and stealthily, through a series of seemingly non-controversial enactments: new laws that are ostensibly designed to clean up elections, defeat corruption, or create a more efficient judiciary (the proposed restriction of jury trials in England and Wales may raise a red flag for this reason); court rulings that reinterpret existing laws; long-dormant laws that are conveniently rediscovered. Because such measures have the shroud of legality and do not attract serious dissent, it appears that little has changed. Parliament remains open and appears to function normally and so opposition to the government’s measures is easily shrugged off as alarmist. However, the terms of deliberation do shift over time almost without notice. Eventually, the cumulative effect of these apparently harmless and inconspicuous measures is to make the task of opposition to the government more difficult and thereby entrench the incumbents in power.[4]

Orbán’s assault on democracy was facilitated by a scandal involving his rivals in the Hungarian Socialist Party when a Socialist Prime Minister was caught on tape admitting that he had lied about the state of the economy. The party’s subsequent collapse allowed Fidesz to score a landslide victory in the 2010 election; a landslide enabled by Hungary’s “first past the post” electoral system, which turned 53 percent of the vote into a two-thirds parliamentary majority. 

Orbán then went about deploying his parliamentary supermajority to disadvantage his opponents (another cautionary tale for other countries like Britain with winner-take-all voting systems). He rewrote the Constitution to allow the ruling party to unilaterally appoint justices of the Constitutional Court, replacing the previous judicial selection mechanism whereby the justices were selected by a parliamentary committee comprising representatives from all the political parties. Another constitutional amendment expanded the Constitutional Court from eleven to fifteen, creating four vacancies for Fidesz with allies. Then a law requiring Supreme Court presidents to have at least five years judicial experience in Hungary forced the existing President, Andras Baka, to stand down as he did not have that requisite period of service in Hungary but had served seventeen years on the European Court of Human Rights which made him an obvious and high-profile target for lawfare. But Fidesz went even further as Parliament proceeded to pass a law lowering the retirement age for judges from seventy to sixty-two and so enforcing the retirement of 274 judges. Although the law was later repealed under pressure from the European Union, many of the retirees did not return to their posts. As a former Constitutional Court justice put it, Orbán had pulled off “a constitutional coup … [under] the cover of constitutionally, with constitutional means.”[5] (An example maybe of why a written constitution may not be the exact panacea for countries like the UK without one).

Orbán also waged lawfare on the media by making public television a propaganda arm of government and by its capture of private media. As part of a “restructuring” process, Fidesz officials dismissed more than a thousand public media employees, including dozens of respected professional journalists and editors. These positions were filled by political loyalists, and public media coverage grew blatantly partisan. Regarding the private media, the Fidesz government worked behind the scenes to assist Orbán’s business cronies in the buying of major media outlets or to gain controlling shares in parent companies that owned independent media outlets. Pressure would then be applied to these independent media to self-censor or, in a few cases, or simply shut down. 

In 2016, Hungary’s largest opposition newspaper, Nepszabadsag, was suddenly closed down by its own corporate owners, not the government. The few remaining independent outlets were hedged in by a variety of restrictive measures. A 2010 law forbade reporting that was “imbalanced”, “insulting” or contrary to “public morality”, with those fouling foul of the new law facing up fines of up to $900,000. A Media Council, packed with Fidesz loyalists, was set up to enforce the law and dozens of media organisations has hundreds of thousands of dollars of fines imposed on them. The Media Council also denied licenses to independent media on the most tedious of technical grounds such as failing to fill out forms correctly. These hardball measures had the desired effect with one study finding that 90 percent of Hungarian media was in the hands of the Orbán government or its private sector allies by 2017. Some 80 percent of Hungarian television viewers and radio listeners received only information provided by the government or its supporters.[6]

Lastly, the Orbán government used constitutional hardball in the most crucial and consequential arena of all – the electoral field of competition. First, it packed the Electoral Commission, which prior to 2010 was appointed via multiparty consensus. Five of the ten seats were filled by delegates of each of the largest parties in parliament, while the other five were filled by mutual agreement between the government and the opposition to guarantee that no single party would control the electoral process. Fidesz discontinued this practice and replaced all five nondelegate seats with party loyalists. Then, in a manner reminiscent of the ‘packing and cracking’ and gerrymandering practices associated with Jim Crow US Deep South and Northern Ireland between 1921 and 1972, the packed Electoral Commission proceeded to rig parliamentary electoral districts to overrepresent Fidesz’s rural strongholds and underrepresent the opposition’s urban redoubts. On top of this, the government banned the use of campaign advertisements in commercial media which severely impacted on the opposition’s ability to reach voters because of the pro-Fidesz bias of the public and private media.[7]

In terms of remaking Hungary in his own image, then Orbán’s lawfare paid dividends. In the 2014 election, Fidesz lost 600,000 votes relative to 2010; its share of the popular vote fell from 53 percent to 45 percent but retained its two thirds control of parliament. It repeated the feat in 2018 and 2022 winning two-thirds of parliament with less than half of the popular vote. By breaking the oracle in the way they have this time round, Peter Magyar and his Tisza party have certainly overcome the emerging conventional wisdom that Orbán “cannot be defeated under ‘normal’ circumstances.”[8]

Viktor Orbán’s long electoral dictatorship represents the mainstreaming of ideas that had remained hidden on the margins of far-right thought including the Great Replacement Theory, pronatalism and the rolling back of LGTB+ and gender-based rights. Orbán’s first victory in 2010, along with Marine Le Pen’s takeover and expansion of her father’s party the following year presaged the ascension of great replacement parties across Europe. During a radio interview in March 2018, Orban proclaimed:

Hungarians are an endangered species… I think there are many people who would like to see the end of Christian Europe, and they believe that if they replace its cultural topsoil … this will make the continent a better place. We utterly reject this.[9]

Orbán became an increasingly influential figure in pan-Conservative circles through his embrace of Great Replacement and his involvement with the Conservative Political Action Committee (CPAC). At CPAC Hungary in 2022, he welcomed to Budapest such Alt-Right luminaries as Austria ‘s Freedom Party chair Herbert Kickl, Spain’s Vox president Santiago Abascal and American Conservative Union (ACU) chair Matt Sclapp. The increasingly influential talk show host Tucker Carlson and Reform UK leader Nigel Farage gave virtual addresses. A few days before CPAC Hungary, at his official inauguration of a new session of the Hungarian Parliament, he condemned the “suicidality” of Western values in Western countries:

One such suicide attempt is the great population replacement programme, which seeks to replace the missing European Christian children with migrants, with adults arriving from other civilisations. [10]

 - articulating a central credo of and mission statement of the contemporary populist nationalist far right.

Another cornerstone of Orbán’s rule was an obsession with the supposed evils of gender ideology. In 2020 his government banned same-sex couples from adopting children and banned transgendered Hungarians from legally changing their gender identity. No longer able to mobilise masses with fear of migration after closing the borders to refugees during Europe’ migrant crisis of 2015-16, Orbán, observed political scientist Andras Bozoki. Orbán resorted, in the manner of so many authoritarian leaders to an identity or out-group issue like radical homophobia. In 2021, Orbán’s government banned sharing with minors any education and media content pertaining to homosexuality or gender identity. Hungary’s ban became a model for Florida’s Don’t Say Gay law in 2022 which prohibited “classroom discussion about sexual orientation or gender identity in certain grade levels.” [11]

And like Florida’s Governor Ron DeSantis, Orbán framed day teachers – or teachers that assign literature on the gay experience – as paedophiles “grooming children.” In a particularly nauseating episode of hypocrisy, after Orbán’s government had established a searchable database of convicted paedophiles in Hungary, Hungarian President Katalin Novak, a handpicked appointee by Orbán, in April 2023 pardoned the former deputy director of a state-run children’s home who had been convicted of covering up sexual abuse of boys in his care. The pardon was signed off by Minister of Justice Judit Varga. In the wake of the public furore which followed the discovery of this scandal the following year, Orbán orchestrated distance and approved the resignations of Novak and Varga – the only two women in top posts in his government – who were inevitably hung out to dry. Also, Orbán’s Hungary ceased funding and accrediting gender studies degrees in 2018, effectively prohibiting Hungarian universities from teaching the discipline.[12]

Salient though the issues of race, pernicious conspiracy theories like Great Replacement and gender justice are to all democrats; it were the inter-related issues of decline of living standards and revulsion at the corruption and gilded lives of the ruling party’s elites which has driven Orban from and powered his opponent into power. When Hungary’s economy was growing, little attention was paid by vox populi to the withering away of checks and balances, the clampdown on LGTB events such as the Budapest Pride March, the closure of “Soros” funded NGOs and the attempts to restrict the curricula of Central University of Europe, Budapest founded by George Soros which led to its relocation to Vienna and the prohibition of the teaching of gender ideology. But as inflation soared after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and economic stagnation set in, rumblings began over the growing disconnect between Hungarians and its ruling class. It was against this backdrop that Peter Magyar began speaking out against his former associates in Fidesz’s inner circles. As he accused Orban’s party of styling itself as champions of Hungarians, while siphoning off state funds, corruption rapidly rose to the top of Hungarians’ list of concerns and Magyar’s hastily formed party ascended to the top of the polls.[13]

Symbolic of “the limitless corruption of the whole system,” in the words of the Hungarian independent MP Akos Hadhazy, was the drone footage of four zebras darting across the property - complete with manicured gardens, swimming pool, and underground garages - of the father of Orban to where Mr Hadhazy organised a series of “safari tours” last autumn in protest. Images of zebras were soon plastered over billboards; people posted videos of their treks to spot the animals, and plush toys were sold at protests as references to the zebras became part of the common currency of conversation.[14]

In the words of President Macron of France, Viktor Orbán’s defeat “is a victory for EU values.” It offers hope to democrats everywhere that the death of democracy 21st century style is not an inevitability. That Orbán has conceded defeat thus ensuring a proper transition or changing of the guard towards a new government is worthy of comment simply because of the violation of this basic democratic procedure by Donald Trump in the wake of the 2020 Presidential Election and by dictators like the former President Maduro of Venezuela. While it is obviously very early days yet, initial soundings from the Peter Magyar in that he has pledged to change the Constitution to restrict the period of office for the Prime Minister to a maximum of two terms, to reset relations with the EU, restore an independent media and judiciary and to reform public procurement.

So to Viktor, the spoils of defeat.

References

[1] Isabel Coles. Budapest spring: Putin’s influence and European democracy at stake in Hungary poll. The Observer. 12 April 2026 pp.6-7

[2] Ibid, p.9

[3] Jon Henley and Jakub Krup. Hungary election rivals trade blows as polls point to defeat for Orbán. The Guardian. 11th April 2026 p.26

[4] Steven Levitsky & Daniel Ziblatt (2023). The Tyranny of the Minority. How to reverse an authoritarian turn and forge a democracy for all. London: Viking p.59

[5] Ibid, pp.60-61

[6] Ibid, pp.62-63

[7] Ibid, pp.63-64

[8] Ibid, p.64

[9] Ibram X. Kendi (2026). Chain of Ideas. Great Replacement Theory and the Origins of Our Authoritarian Age. London: Bodley Head p.74

[10] Ibid, p.277

[11] Ibid, pp.148-49

[12] Ibid. p.149

[13] Ashifa Kassam and Flora Garamvolgyi. The Saturday Read. Is this the end of Viktor Orban’s rule? The Guardian. 11th April 2026 pp.37-39

[14] Ibid, p.37

Barry Gilheany is a freelance writer, qualified counsellor and aspirant artist resident in Colchester where he took his PhD at the University of Essex. He is also a lifelong Leeds United supporter.

Hungary For Change 🪶 Victor Orban Is Evicted From Power

Lynx By Ten To The Power Of One Thousand Nine Hundred And Forty One

 

A Morning Thought @ 3116

Colm McGuinness 📢 delivered the oration at Arbour Hill Cemetery on Easter Monday. The annual commemoration is organised by the National 1916 Commemoration Committee.


Ten years ago the National 1916 Commemoration Committee marked the centenary of the Easter Rising. It was an unprecedented opportunity to demonstrate to both this state and the British establishment, that the Proclamation issued by those dissident insurgents remains unfinished business.

It was also an onerous opportunity for Irish republicans to demonstrate strategic leadership, by taking that Proclamation out of the hands of revisionist and career orientated politicians, and place it firmly on a modern road towards national sovereignty for the Irish people.

On that Easter Monday 2016, in glorious sunshine, thousands of republicans marched to this hallowed place, giving rise to an expectation that republicans had grasped the nettle of pragmatism and realism and were prepared to take on the mantle of Irish republicanism and drive forward this struggle in such a way that when it comes to celebrating the bi-centenary of 1916 our national sovereignty would have long been secured.

Ten years on that objective is by no means guaranteed. The obsession of Irish republicans to be associated with the past has come at the price of being irrelevant to the present. The last phase of armed struggle has been over for longer than it was prosecuted, and ended in a political and constitutional settlement it wasn’t remotely fighting for.

What this means is that the current generation of our people, who are best placed to effect change for their country, have little empirical empathy with that struggle despite its immense cost and sacrifice. This is the reality which Irish republicans must face into.

As republicans we struggle for their right to disagree with us. And the fact that they do disagree with us, largely through apathy and distraction, is proof positive that the articulation of the core republican message has flatlined, and not just in its content, but also in its presentation.

Our people are entitled to more than historical and ideological slogans; such an approach merely demonstrates a bankruptcy of political acumen. And even standing here, in this most revered place in republican history, we cannot be blind to the fact, that once we leave through those gates, a collective deafness greets what we have said here today.

So in the first instance it is up to every individual here assembled to show individual leadership and open their minds to new ideas and make themselves available in helping to develop such ideas. Such a process can only commence once a logical and pragmatic foundation is set in place to ensure republican efforts do not once again drift into the rhetoric of the past.

From the outset we make it clear that the objective of Irish republicanism is the restoration of Irish national sovereignty and the ending of the British violation of that sovereignty. We equally make it clear that any and all calls for the restoration of our national sovereignty are by default a decisive call for the establishment of a national democracy for the people of the 32 Counties of Ireland. Our call is not for an abstraction but for a functioning and living republic.

A comprehensive blueprint of how that republic should and can function must become the graphic embodiment and presentation of the core republican message. The republic must be visual, its central structure must be stress tested against similar republics throughout history and the world. But above all it must make sense because common sense speaks louder and reaches farther than any eloquently spun idealism.

Our right to a sovereign democracy has been clearly articulated throughout the generations. That right has been carried forward as the bedrock of revolutionary ideas and acts prosecuted by those generations. But it is only the right which is necessarily carried forward, each generation is entitled to adopt its own tactics relevant to the political circumstances of their time. Our efforts must be focussed on what we can do rather than on what others have previously done.

Partition, and the institutions established to administer it, have evolved beyond the circumstances of their birth. This is particularly the case in this jurisdiction. British withdrawal from Ireland will not come about independent of the wishes of this state. The argument of illegitimacy is strategically redundant. Entering the primary institutions of this State has not served Irish republicanism nor has staying outside of them as some act of purifying defiance. A third path must be found which can exert an influence on this state on the matter of constitutional change.

The Republican Movement cannot secure its primary objective on its own. It can never be the function of Irish republicanism to simply exist, nor is it the purview of any group or set of individuals to claim that they are the Republican Movement. We must make strategic alliances with those who equally seek national change albeit for different priorities that are relevant to them. A sovereign democracy belongs to all, politically active or not, and it is incumbent on the Republican Movement to engage with these resources and to convince them that the republic we envisage encompasses the solutions for the issues and rights most concerning to them.

An analysis of what led to the signing of the Good Friday Agreement within republicanism is now largely academic. Playing the blame game or shouting treason is nothing more than impotent moon howling. What we must analyse however is the strategic benefits accrued by both the British and Irish establishments from that accord. Because it is within those benefits that their political motivations will expose their political intentions going forward.

For this state the benefits are immense. There is now no legal, political or constitutional obligation on them to pursue a national democracy for Ireland. Leinster House, regardless of who sits in government, does not want an end to partition. An end to partition disrupts the lucrative political dominance they have established for themselves. George Bernard Shaw observed that all great truths begin as blasphemies and it is equally true that there are no careers in revolutionary politics. The notion of Irish unity is reduced to lip service, empty rhetoric and group hug sentiments.

For the British the Good Friday Agreement offers the perfect camouflage for their deeply deceptive claim of having no selfish strategic or economic reasons for remaining in Ireland. That the question of sovereignty was not on any talks agenda, other than an absolute recognition that sovereign authority over the Six Counties remained firmly in Westminster, determines that the future of the Six Counties will serve British interests first and foremost.

These are the political and constitutional realities that we must face if we are to have any realistic prospects of moving forward. We need to seek out common threads so that the myriad of political and community groups fighting for fundamental change and social justice can have a more focussed and amplified voice. Those that are divided, whether on legitimate political concerns or personal animosities, can never begin to coalesce around a complex proposition.

There is an inherent dynamic in simplicity; a dynamic whose basic logic transcends those divisions and animosities and demands a positive engagement with it. Our national flag, the Irish Tricolour, presents Irish republicans with such an opportunity.

The recent upsurge in the flying of our national flag in predominantly working class areas is more to be understood, not by the perceived intentions of those hoisting them, but by the shallow and deflective political reaction to it. Because of itself the flying of the national flag like this is a reaction to a shambolic combination of government policies, most notably on health, immigration and housing, but also exposes a servile post colonial mindset in successive-governments.

Let us clearly define what our national flag represents: it is the pinnacle symbol of the sovereignty of the Irish people over the 32 counties of Ireland. The colours of our flag are also a deliberate expression of national sovereignty in that they clearly state that any internal divisions within the Irish people can only be resolved by the Irish people themselves without any outside interference, most notably from the Westminster Parliament.

And it is this very sovereignty that the political establishment of this state has surrendered time and time again. They surrendered it to the British by sanitising a British imposed border in our country. They surrendered it to the banks and property speculators when they bailed out their gambling debts. They surrendered it to Brussels when our democratic decisions via referenda were deemed unacceptable and were forced to re-run them. They surrendered it to the IMF despite a pair of Fianna Fáil muppets looking bemused at the suggestion on the Six O'Clock News. And they are continuing to surrender our sovereignty with the relentless assault on our neutrality from outside vested interests and also on the issue of immigration, control over which is clearly beyond our sovereign remit.

The Irish flag should be hoisted in every community as a definitive act of sovereignty. An act of sovereignty which demands an end to British Parliamentary activity in our country. A demand for a public housing programme to once and for all end homelessness. A demand for a robust policy of active neutrality. A demand for a coherent and realistic policy on immigration that is not driven by exploitative financial interests or emotional and denigrating rhetoric. And a demand for a parliamentary system of governance which is based on merit and true representative democracy. Our national flag is a product of true republican ideals and flying our flag should be a daily reminder of those ideals and a censure on those who are failing to uphold them.

And this is our message to republicans throughout Ireland; go into your communities and hoist our flag. Go into your communities and educate them on the true provenance and meaning of our flag. Maintain those flags and if the state attempts to remove those flags replace them twice over. Everything begins with an idea, let our flag, once again, fulfil that beginning.

The Palestinian people are suffering a genocide as a result of a resurgent colonialism as the US-Zionist axis seeks complete dominance in the Middle East region. There is a long association between the Irish and Palestinian people’s struggle for sovereignty and independence. When the Black and Tans were removed from Ireland Palestine was their next destination; their primary function being the enforcement of the Balfour Declaration, a most shameful episode in world history. And as in Ireland the parallel trend of recruiting local quislings to administer colonial affairs found a willing participant in the Palestinian Authority, the Middle East’s own Free State.

The men and women of 1916 were not indifferent to the worlds politics and events around them. On the contrary they looked to those events as a means to amplify their core republican demands and expose British colonial hypocrisy.

As world politics drifts under the insidious influence of Zionist and US imperialism Britain’s strategic interest in Ireland will adapt itself to the military needs that this geo-political direction will demand. And it is a foregone conclusion that this State will offer no resistance to the path the British will demand of them. Unless our national sovereignty is restored it will be a British hand steering the constitutional and political direction for the people of this island. The fate of both our peoples, Irish and Palestinian, resides in the issue of our respective national sovereignty being fully restored.

Sovereignty is not a singular issue nor is it one dimensional; it is the bedrock of national existence and the ultimate authority for the Irish people to determine freely national policies such as government structure, social justice, economic self sufficiency, neutrality and defence, cultural expression and international affairs.

And for Irish republicans to credibly assert that our core position is the defence and pursuit of Irish national sovereignty we must equally assert how that sovereignty is fundamental to the welfare of the Irish people as it affects their daily lives. People do not live in an idealistic bubble. Our communities daily face the hardships and tribulations of life and it is for Irish republicans to provide credible solutions for them.

Every generation of Irish republicans brought their ideas to the table. Now it is our turn. The mantle of Irish republicanism can only be inherited by those who have ideas to advance it.

Beri Bua!

Arbour Hill Easter Oration 2026

The Journal ★ Written by Stephen McDermott.

While many are protesting fuel costs, far-right actors and international figures are using the movement to push anti-immigrant narratives.

This week's protests about fuel costs rapidly took shape online, where much of the organisation was carried out and where those involved are continuing to coordinate.

But as tractors and trucks took to motorways and streets from Tuesday this week, a whole other narrative, which had nothing to do with fuel prices, was already forming, driven by actors with broader and more nefarious aims.

Ireland’s far-right movement has enmeshed itself with the protests from the start, a ploy which softened the ground for international figures like Tommy Robinson to spread their own narratives online from afar.

The protests are not far-right at their essence; the groups involved in peaceful protests around the country are splintered, and many of those blocking roads and motorways are simply motivated by their frustrations about the price of fuel.

But the looming presence of extreme personalities and social media accounts is stoking tensions in a way that risks pushing this loose network towards a more volatile situation in the days ahead.

The question of when far-right and anti-immigrant figures became involved remains somewhat murky.

Continue @ The Journal.

How Ireland's Far-Right Movement Got Involved In The Fuel Protests And Tried To Hijack Them

Dr John Coulter  Northern Ireland has a superb record of producing top standup comedians and one name leading the field is Shane Todd.


During a holiday to visit a relative in England, I had the pleasure of seeing Shane in action in Newcastle city centre’s famous The Stand Comedy Club. It was a packed gig and we had seats right at the front.

Shane was brilliant and his one-liners had the audience in constant stitches for over an hour as he talked about his life’s experiences.

For me to say that Shane is top of the heap when it comes to Ulster comedians who have made a name for themselves in Ireland and the rest of the UK might seem slightly biased. But I am.

This is because Shane used to be one of my journalism students on the Higher National Diploma in Broadcast Journalism at what is now Belfast Metropolitan College’s Millfield Campus.

This wasn’t yesterday; it was several years ago, but even then I had an inkling that Shane was destined for a glittering career in standup comedy.

Even as a journalism student, I knew him to be the master of the one-liners. His time on our journalist training programme also coincided with a particularly challenging time in my life with my severely autistic son.

There were mornings when I arrived at Millfield after a long night with my son that I just wanted to cry. But being a lecturer in journalism means that you can’t drag your problems into the classroom.

Shane was to become a psychological crutch. I knew his love for standup comedy, so on the really bad days, I’d say to Shane before lectures began - ‘tell me a joke!’ And he would - and suddenly the day would be much, much brighter.

I have followed Shane’s career since he left the college to pursue a calling in standup comedy rather than investigative journalism - maybe that says more about my lecturing capabilities that one of my most memorable students I’ve had the privilege of teaching went into comedy rather than the media!

So what is the secret of Shane’s gripping appeal? It’s simple - he can take everyday issues which face us as an audience and turn them into a laugh a minute routine.

Many modern day standup comedians rely on the shock tactics of a host of expletives and bad language to amuse their audiences. Not Shane Todd. He has a natural story telling ability to communicate his gags with the minimum of swearing. His routine comes across as a conversation about life that constantly holds your attention; he has you hanging on every word.

I’m not suggesting Shane will get booked as the warm up act for this year’s Belfast General Assembly of the Presbyterian Church in Ireland, but his routines have the ability to generate a family atmosphere at his gigs.

Leading comedians like Jimmy Carr and Neil Delamere have perfected the art of interacting with their audiences. But what’s unique about Shane is that he’s able to hold the audience in the palm of his hand. The microphone becomes almost like a magic wand.

The audiences listen intently to him. He is the pied piper of comedy, and the audience members are his eager followers.

The pace of the routine is not quick fire, but he gently leads you through the story dropping in the one-liners, but all the time the audience remains gripped on every sentence.

The fact that there was a queue outside The Stand an hour before the gig kicked off is testament to Shane’s pulling power as a master of the standup routine. The Stand is one of the top comedy clubs not just in Tyneside, but across England as a whole.

The fact that Shane had it packed on a damp Sunday evening is also testament to his sheer professionalism. The photo with this column has Shane in the middle along with myself on the right and my eldest son, Daniel, on the left pictured inside The Stand comedy club.

Shane’s pulling power is almost hypnotic. There was no heckling from the audience during his gig.

In terms of standup strategies, while Jimmy Carr uses the ‘heckle amnesty’ to encourage banter from the audience, and Neil Delamere uses the ‘front row roasting’ to boost their routines, Shane uses his hypnotic presence on stage to maintain the interest of his audience. What you see, is what you get - a great night’s craic.

And just as he used to leave me in stitches when he was my student with his instant one-liners, so too, I left that comedy club very well satisfied that I’d had a great evening’s entertainment. I also left feeling very proud of the fact that I can boast - I taught Shane Todd!

But I still wonder what advice Shane would give me for my bucket list plan to heckle Jimmy Carr!
 
Follow Dr John Coulter on Twitter @JohnAHCoulter
John is a Director for Belfast’s Christian radio station, Sunshine 1049 FM. 

Shane Todd Is Terrific Tonic For A Night’s Craic!

Lynx By Ten To The Power Of One Thousand Nine Hundred And Forty

 

A Morning Thought @ 3115

Louth For Ever ★ How a Fuel Price Spike Became a Fascist Audition.

“RIP Ireland” — Photography:
Brendan Donnelly

There is a particular tell, when a “spontaneous people’s protest” isn’t quite what it claims to be. It isn’t the placards. It isn’t the high-vis vests. It isn’t even the tractors. Ireland has plenty of legitimate reasons to bring a tractor to town, and a country built on agricultural grievance has every right to express it loudly. The tell is something subtler. It’s the moment someone in the crowd, their face contorted with what is supposed to be anger about diesel, screams “What’s a woman?” at a passing TD.

That happened on O’Connell Street this week. The TD was Paul Murphy. The heckler, by Murphy’s own admission afterwards, was a known far-right agitator. The question, imported wholesale from American culture-war X/Twitter, with no organic relationship whatsoever to the price of a litre of diesel in County Meath, is the entire story of what these “fuel protests” actually are, compressed into three syllables shouted on a Dublin street. People genuinely furious about the cost of heating their homes do not, in unscripted moments of rage, reach for gender-critical talking points. They reach for the cost of heating their homes.

What we have been watching this week is not a fuel protest. It is a blockade. And the blockade is the message.

The Word Matters

Let’s start with the language, because the language is doing political work. A protest persuades. A protest occupies a public square, marches down a public street, gathers outside a parliament, and asks the country to look. A blockade does something else entirely. A blockade puts a small mobilised minority in a logistics chokepoint and squeezes until the rest of the country is forced to negotiate at gunpoint with whoever happens to be holding the chokepoint that morning. One is democratic. The other is the precise opposite of democratic, it is the substitution of leverage for argument, of coercion for persuasion, of “we have the diesel and you do not” for “we have the better case.”

It matters which word we use, because the word “protest” carries a century of legitimacy earned by people who marched and were beaten and were jailed and went on hunger strike for the right to be heard. To paste that word onto a tow-truck convoy organised by a man who thinks asylum seekers get free trips to the zoo is to launder a coercive tactic in the moral inheritance of a democratic one. It is, frankly, theft.

And the country has, this week, been held to ransom.

The Parasites and the Host

Here is the part that requires care, because it is the part the bad-faith reader will pretend you didn’t write. There are real hauliers in this. There are real farmers in this. There are real agricultural contractors whose margins were already paper-thin and who watched the price of red diesel spike in the wake of the US and Israeli war on Iran and who concluded, not unreasonably, that something had to give. Their grievance is legitimate. Their anger is legitimate. The cost-of-living crisis is real, the government’s response to it has been thin, and a country in which a working person cannot afford to fuel the vehicle they need to work is a country with a problem that politics is meant to solve.

None of that is in dispute. What is in dispute is who organised the WhatsApp groups.

The forensic work has been done by The Journal, and it deserves to be read carefully by anyone tempted to wave this away as “ordinary people venting.” The Facebook page that led the early mobilisation — The People of Ireland Against Fuel Prices — was set up in 2021 under a different name and ran a paid advertisement urging attendance at this week’s events. The ad was paid for by a company called TheTowTruck.ie, owned by a man named Sonny Boyd, who has used his personal Facebook page to claim, falsely, that Ireland is the only country in Europe to give immigrants free housing, weekly cash payments, free English lessons, and free trips to the zoo and theme parks. This is not an incidental detail. This is who paid for the advertising that brought people to the chokepoints.

The three men put forward as media spokespeople: James Geoghegan, Christopher Duffy and John Dallon, have between them appeared in livestreams with Niall McConnell of Síol na hÉireann and with Philip Dwyer, the anti-immigration agitator who was, in one of the more telling moments of the week, ejected from organising WhatsApp groups by genuine fuel protesters who told him in plain terms that the protests were “about fuel.” Christopher Duffy’s social media history includes a comment, posted under an item about Greta Thunberg, that he could not “care less if she got raped or beaten” and made “no apologies for saying that.” This is the man who has been addressing the national press from O’Connell Street as the spokesperson for what we are being asked to call a fuel protest.

And then there is the moment the mask slipped entirely. On Tuesday morning, from the back of a truck on O’Connell Street, Kildare county councillor Tom McDonnell, the same Tom McDonnell who became briefly notorious last year for saying Irish women need to “breed” more, addressed the crowd. He told them Ireland was being “destroyed” by Europe and by the government. And then, in a single sentence that ought to be carved into the lintel of every honest analysis of this week, he told them where the missing fuel-tax money should come from: empty the IPAS centres.

That is the entire economic argument of the blockade resolving, in real time, mid-speech, into the scapegoating of asylum seekers. Two and a half billion euro. From IPAS centres. To hauliers. From the back of a truck. The mathematics are not the point. The mathematics have never been the point. The mathematics are a delivery mechanism for the politics, and the politics are that someone else, someone browner, someone newer, someone with less power than anyone in that crowd, should be made to pay.

That is not a fuel protest. That is a fascist audition with a diesel-soaked script.

The Swarm

For the first few days, the international far right barely noticed Ireland. Tommy Robinson was elsewhere. Katie Hopkins was elsewhere. Ezra Levant, the Canadian impresario who has spent years monetising other people’s grievances on camera, was elsewhere. Conor McGregor — found civilly liable by the High Court of sexually assaulting Nikita Hand, and now reinventing himself as a political actor after his failed presidential bid — was, by the standards of his recent output, almost quiet.

That changed on Thursday morning. Justice Minister Jim O’Callaghan asked the Defence Forces for assistance in moving vehicles from roads and fuel depots, and within hours the swarm arrived. Robinson posted footage of army vehicles, vehicles which, the Defence Forces had to clarify, were on the streets for an entirely separate reason, and announced that the Irish government was “now at war with the Irish people.” Hopkins re-shared old anti-immigrant protest footage as if it were live. Levant flew in. McGregor offered to feed the protesters at his pub, then posted videos of his workers handing out sandwiches on O’Connell Street, and declared it was “amazing” that Dublin was now safe, a reference to the fiction, which he has spent years cultivating, that the capital is dangerous because of immigration.

The misinformation followed immediately, because misinformation is what these accounts produce: AI-generated images of Gardaí using water cannons that did not exist; old footage of sulkies racing down O’Connell Street recycled as if it were Tuesday; a video of an army vehicle trapped under a railway bridge that was not even filmed in Ireland. Former far-right electoral candidate Derek Blighe announced that “children as young as 12” had been pepper-sprayed by “regime forces” at the Whitegate oil refinery. Regime forces. Read that phrase again and ask yourself which political vocabulary it belongs to, and which it does not.

This is the European far right’s most successful tactic of the last decade, and it has now been deployed in Ireland with textbook precision. Find a real economic grievance. Build a blockade around it. Wait for the international content economy to arrive. Wait for the legitimate complainants to either leave or be drowned out. Convert the resulting footage into recruitment material. The gilets jaunes did this in France. The Dutch farmer convoys did it. Ottawa did it. The fact that it is being done here, on our streets, in our names, with our diesel, is not an accident. It is a method.

The Murphy Problem

Which brings us, with no pleasure at all, to Paul Murphy TD.

Murphy walked onto O’Connell Street earlier this week. He was met with chants of “shame on you.” Someone screamed “what’s a woman?” at him. He was told he does not stand with working-class people. He was forced — physically, on camera — to turn around and leave. And speaking to The Journal afterwards, Murphy acknowledged, in plain language, that the people who had screamed at him were all known to him, all known far-right agitators in Dublin. And then he said the left should not abandon the protest.

This is not a small mistake. This is the trap the European populist left has walked into, again and again, over the last decade, and it should be possible by now — it should be required by now — for any serious left politician to recognise the shape of the trap before stepping into it. Nobody is asking Paul Murphy to abandon his constituents in Dublin South-West. Nobody is asking him to be quiet about fuel poverty, or about a government that has been culpably absent on the cost of living, or about the obscenity of a war driving up the price of a working person’s commute. He could be saying all of those things from a thousand other platforms. He has chosen to say them from this one, and the choice of platform is the choice that matters.

Look at who got this right. Ivana Bacik TD called for the blockades to end while explicitly recognising the right to protest and the distress driving it. The Social Democrats said it was wrong to block roads and critical infrastructure while urging the government to engage. And Roderic O’Gorman TD — Roderic O’Gorman, the Green Party leader whose face has been used in homophobic memes shared by figures now embedded in this very protest — pointed out, in one of the most clear-eyed political statements of the week, that protesters should be directing their energy at the US and Israeli embassies for causing the energy crisis with their attack on Iran.

Read that again. The politician the blockaders’ organisers have spent years smearing is the one naming the actual cause of their fuel bills. Meanwhile the People Before Profit TD is explaining why he won’t abandon the people who screamed “what’s a woman” at him on a public street. Something has gone badly wrong with the political compass when O’Gorman is offering the cleanest left analysis on offer and Murphy is reaching for the megaphone next to the coffin marked RIP Ireland.

And it is not only Murphy. Sinn Féin’s positioning here deserves to be named, because honesty is the only thing that makes the rest of this argument hold. Of all the parties in the Dáil, Sinn Féin should be the first, not the last, to recognise the parasites-and-host pattern. A movement whose entire history was built on insisting that real political grievances must not be conflated with the people who attach themselves to those grievances for their own ends ought to be incapable of misreading what is happening on O’Connell Street this week. The decision to back the blockades, chasing votes that, in all likelihood, will not arrive at the ballot box anyway, is not an ideological misstep. It is a failure of the precise pattern-recognition the party’s own century is supposed to have trained into it. The undecided middle that any serious unity project depends on is not won by standing next to Tom McDonnell while he calls for IPAS centres to be emptied. It is lost there.

What This Was

Strip away the high-vis, strip away the diesel fumes, strip away the carefully filmed sandwich distribution, and what was this week, really? It was a stress test. It was the international far right discovering that the same playbook that worked in Paris and Ottawa and Eindhoven works just as well in Cork and Dublin. It was an audition — for the cameras, for the donors, for the next mobilisation, and for the one after that. The fuel was the pretext. The blockade was the rehearsal. The country was the stage.

The hauliers will go home. The diesel will eventually be cheaper or it won’t. The IPAS centres will not be emptied because the IPAS centres were never the point — they were the test of how easily the idea of emptying them could be smuggled into a crowd that came for something else. And the answer, this week, was: easily enough. Easily enough that a Kildare councillor said it out loud from the back of a truck and nobody walked away.

That is the thing to remember when the convoys disperse and the cameras leave and the columnists move on. The blockade is the message. And the message has been received, by the people who sent it, by the people who answered it, and, one hopes, by the rest of us, who still have a country to defend from the polite fiction that any of this was ever about the price of a litre of diesel.

Louth For Ever writes on Irish politics and constitutional change. Follow for analysis of Ireland’s democratic future as it’s constructed by those actually engaged in the work.

The Blockade Is The Message

Geordie Morrow 🖌 with a painting from his collection of art work. 

Coloured pencils on packaging

⏩Geordie Morrow is a Belfast artist.

Belfast From Highfield

Gowain McKennaIt is the second of week of April 2026 and we are well into the mass fuel protests taking place across Ireland. 

By and large protestors represent the back-bone of Irish society, hard working farmers and other workers whose very survival depends on reasonable fuel and energy costs. 

Yet, there are also many supporters and other participants who are involved by mere fact of moral responsibility to the Irish people and way of life. For it is these very people who are the lifeblood and soul of the Nation, and that keep the country running while the cabal in Leinster house plot and scheme to the detriment of the Irish working class.

The reality is these fuel protests did not just happen off the cuff, but rather are the result of a growing mass discontent and disillusionment that by now has been simmering for months or even years. For make no mistake these protests are not just about fuel prices, but are also a response to many disastrous decisions on behalf of a government embedded firmly in neoliberalism and corporatism. 

It is therefore fitting that by preventing access to major fuel depots and ports the protestors are now hitting the government exactly where it hurts. Perhaps now the FF/FG coalition will understand the hardship of the Irish working class who in many instances are living hand to mouth and from paycheck to paycheck amidst one poorly managed crisis after another. There has to be a tipping point somewhere along the line and perhaps this is it. 

The government is also quick to play the used and worn Far Right card in a feeble attempt to divide and discredit. But let us call it what it is, a workers led revolt that brings with it clear potential for revolutionary change. And whether or not those involved lean to the Left or Right is totally irrelevant because economic turmoil and genuine hardship impacts us all.

By now the FF/FG cabal in Leinster house are so out of touch with the typical Irish citizen it is frankly disturbing. Indeed, on the second day of unrest Taoiseach Martin was publicly scathing of protesters while showing zero understanding into why Irish citizens were taking such measures. Instead he made it abundantly clear that his sympathies align solely with big business, the elites and corporate interests who God forbid might be short of footfall.

The Irish government could attempt to deal and alleviate this in another way, perhaps by acknowledging the strike with a view to negotiation on strike demands, or by taking simple steps to further reduce or halt tax revenue per litre of fuel or heating oil. Yet the reality is such steps are an anathema to those only invested in self-interest and pursuits for personal gain.

It is an unfortunate side effect that such protests will bring about temporary fuel shortages for the people at local filling stations and forecourt's, but on the whole it is a short term sacrifice in the pursuit of holding the government accountable, and to send a message to invoke much needed change of government policy and direction.

Alarmingly, like something from the fascist playbook of Pinochet, Franco or Mussolini, the Irish government has now began to mobilize the Irish Army to quell and put a stop to the 'blockades' of motorways and key fuel depots across the country. 

If this measure is to go ahead it would be a grave mistake on behalf of the State. It would set a most dangerous precedent and be a clear indicator that there are two very distinct societal constructs living side by side in Ireland: the oppressed and the oppressors. Or to put it another way, those who defend Irish people and interests, and those who do not. Finally, the last word should be left to Liam Mellows when he said:

It is a fallacy to believe that a Republic of any kind can be won through the shackled Free State. You can't make a silk purse out of a sow's ear. The Free State is British created and serves British Imperialist interests. It is the buffer erected between British Capitalism and the Irish Republic - Liam Mellows

⏩ Gowain McKenna is a Belfast born engineer and musician. He has an M.Phil, MS.c and B.Eng in Aerospace Engineering, but has somehow found himself working in the marine industry in Co. Donegal Ireland, the place from which he now calls home. Visit his website.

Irish Fuel Protests 🪶 Not Just About The Fuel!

The Journal Written by Stephen McDermott.

Our FactCheck editor details the internet trends seen by a thirty-something-year-old man.


It Started With an image posted to a far-right Facebook page.

I spotted it while I was scrolling early on Saturday afternoon: a map of Ireland with six red dots in a ring outside Dublin, and a caption in block capitals that read “National fuel protest assembly points Tuesday 7am”.

Soon I saw others share the same map, or AI slop pictures of trucks with the same details about assembly points for Tuesday morning, almost exclusively on pages that usually share far-right and anti-immigrant content.

Plans for a protest had, of course, been building in the days beforehand, but the images were my first glimpse into this online callout for people to go to Dublin.

They appeared in my feed because of the types of pages I monitor for work, but their reach extended far beyond those spaces over the course of the weekend.

It’s never easy to tell how big these things will be from early on, though it quickly became clear from my social media feeds that the protest was underway virtually – even though roads and motorways were clear.

Continue @ The Journal.

The Internet's Bad Actors Quickly Distorted The Fuel Protests Into A Narrative Divorced From Reality